How & Why I decided to buy my first $1,000 .jpg

My very own, Cryptodad #6127

🐂Bull Case for CryptoDads

🐻Bear Case for CryptoDads:

❓What are my options (T-~2 Hours to Launch):

  1. Mint @ drop and try my luck at copping at release. Seems like higher demand rn than there is supply, so risk losing a shit ton of gas and getting nothing
  • mint cost: 0.08 eth
  • People are estimating about 0.3-.5 gas fees
Expected Value Matrix. Essentially you try to estimate your returns for the best case, most likely, and worst case scenarios, and multiply their values by the likelihood of each option happening. If you add that up you get your combined expected value.The higher the number the better. If your estimations are correct, then on average you should gain money if the EV is positive, and lose money if it is negative.
Expected Value Matrix. Essentially you try to estimate your returns for the best case, most likely, and worst case scenarios, and multiply their values by the likelihood of each option happening. If you add that up you get your combined expected value. The higher the number the better. If your estimations are correct, then on average you should gain money if the EV is positive, and lose money if it is negative.

🎯Consensus

🤑Best Case:

👍Likely Case

🥶Worst Case

📕A note on methodology

💰Buying the Dad

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